Poll: Illinois Democrats maintain huge lead in race for governor, U.S. Senate, secretary of state, auditor and treasurer

With less than two weeks left in the race, Democrats running for statewide offices in Illinois and the U.S. Senate have overwhelmed their Republican opponents, according to a WGN-TV/Emerson College/The Hill poll. It turns out that

Voters seem poised to pick Democrats for the state’s top office, but they are divided on which direction Illinois is headed. A majority of voters (52%) believe things are going wrong in Illinois, and 48% think things are going right.

In the gubernatorial race, incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker maintains a sizable 9-point lead over Republican challenger Darren Bailey State Senator (50%-41%). Of those surveyed, 3% said they planned to vote for libertarian candidate Scott Schlutter, and 2% planned to endorse someone else.

Poll conducted last week after second and final televised Discussion on WGNindicates that Pritzker won 1 percentage point. Late SeptemberBailey scored 5 points in the same time frame.

4% of voters say they haven’t decided yet, up from 8% last month. When asked which to choose, undecided voters said 27% chose Pritzker, 33% chose Bailey, 5% chose the libertarian candidate, and another 34% chose a completely different candidate. I replied that I would vote for someone.

Of those voters who say Illinois is heading in the wrong direction, three-quarters (75%) plan to vote for Bailey, but only 11% said they would choose Pritzker. Pritzker is far ahead of those who say the state is heading in the right direction, with Bailey leading his 93% to his 4% in that group.

Bailey has made Chicago violence a central theme of his campaign, criticizing local Democratic leaders and calling the city “Hell,” “OK Ranch,” and “Pritzkerville.”

But an Emerson College poll finds that voters in Chicago and the surrounding suburbs support Pritzker. The governor has his 66% support among Chicago voters and his 52% of surrounding suburban voters. Outside of the Chicago area, his 53% of voters back Bailey, the Xenia-turned-farmer, in his favor. The Hyatt billionaire has only 40% of voters outside of Chicago who support him.

It also shows strong results among female voters in addition to Pritzker’s lead. He wins female voters her 23 points (57% vs. 34%).

In the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Democrat Tammy Duckworth holds a 49% to 39% lead over Republican Kathy Salvi, with 8% of voters still undecided. Salvi has won her 8 percentage points in the contest since the poll last month.

Democrats lead all no votes statewide, but the results are inconclusive as a significant number of voters are still undecided after 13 days.

In the race to replace Jesse White as Illinois’ longest-serving secretary of state, 48% of those polled said they supported Democrat Alexi Giannurias. 39% of voters plan to vote for Republican Dan Brady, and 9% say they are undecided.

for Prosecutor General, 47% of voters want Democrat Kwame Raul to get a second term. Thirty-nine percent say they support Republican attorney Thomas DeVore, who has repeatedly appeared in court to block pandemic-related orders. In this election, 9% of respondents said they were undecided.

in the State Treasurer 46% backed Republican Rep. Tom Demmer, and 36% backed Republican Rep. Tom Demmer. Still, 14% of his prospective voters say they haven’t made up their minds.

in the election of Auditor49% of voters support incumbent Democrat Susana Mendoza, compared to 36% for Republican Shannon Teresi, with 11% remaining undecided.

In addition to choosing elected officials, voters in Illinois have the First Amendment, the so-calledworkers rights amendment”. Amending the State Constitution’s Bill of Rights to guarantee the right of Illinois workers to organize, bargain collectively, and negotiate wages, hours, and conditions. The measure will only take effect if approved by her three-fifths of those who voted on the issue, or by a majority of those who voted in the election. She appears to be on her way to approval, with 54% of voters planning to vote in favor, 30% planning to vote against, and 16% undecided. The proposal is the most popular among young voters, with 80% of her between the ages of 18 and 34 saying they support it.

With early voting in Illinois, the Pritzker and Bailey campaigns have used issues such as crime and access to abortion to motivate voters to vote. But the biggest issue among voters remains the economy. Thirty-nine percent said it was the most important issue in this year’s poll, and threats to democracy rank him second with 18 percent. Access to abortion comes in third at 12%, followed by both medical care and crime at 9% of him.

In a hypothetical 2024 rematch between President Biden and former President Trump, Biden holds a 12-point lead in Illinois, 49% to 37%. 10% said they would vote for someone else and 4% said they were undecided. In Illinois, President Biden’s approval ratings are split, with 46% supporting his job as president and 46% opposing.

Method: The Emerson College Polling/WGN/The Hill Illinois poll was conducted October 20-24, 2022. The sample consisted of highly likely voters (n=1,000) with confidence intervals (CI) similar to the poll’s error bars (MOE) +/- 3.02 percentage points. The dataset is weighted by gender, age, education, region, and race/ethnicity based on the 2022 voter turnout model. It is important to remember that subsets based on gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity have smaller sample sizes and thus larger margins of error. Using a mobile phone, data were collected using SMS-to-web, a landline interactive voice response (IVR) system, his web survey by email, and an online panel. Poll: Illinois Democrats maintain huge lead in race for governor, U.S. Senate, secretary of state, auditor and treasurer

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